2026 PSAI Annual Conference

Breaking the Mold: Beyond the Current Growth Paradigm through Innovation, Institutional Reform and Economic Transformation

19–21 October 2026 · Compact programme with photos

Day 1 — 19 October 2026, Monday

APPRECIATION COURSE 1 - Measuring What Matters: Impact Evaluation for Better Business Decisions

19 October 2026, Monday | 9:00am - 12:00nn | Venue: Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute

Speaker

Melba V. Tutor

Monitoring and Evaluation Specialist

APPRECIATION COURSE 2 - Data Visualization in the Age of AI (Artificial Intelligence)

19 October 2026, Monday | 1:00pm - 4:00pm | Venue: Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute

Speaker

Jose Pedro E. Cuartero

Finance Manager, Foodpanda Philippines

Day 2 — 20 October 2026, Tuesday

WELCOME REMARKS

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 9:00am - 9:15am | Venue: Auditorium, UP School of Statistics

Speaker

Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales, PhD

PSAI President
Chair of the 2026 Annual Conference
Executive Director, Commission on Population and Development

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 9:15am - 10:30am | Venue: Auditorium, UP School of Statistics

Speaker

Mr. Diwa C. Guinigundo

Former Deputy Governor, Bangko Sentral ng Pilpinas

PLENARY SESSION 1 - Counting From Above: GeoAI for Census Statistics

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 11:00am-12:00nn | Venue: Auditorium

Speaker

Mr. Tristan Julius T. Cleofe

Geodata Systems Technologies, Inc.

DAY 2: PARALLEL SESSION 1A - Best Student Paper

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 1:00pm-3:00pm | Venue: Lecture Hall 1

Session Organizer/Chair

Rechel G. Arcilla

De La Salle University

Presenters

Kristine Joli S. Redondo

University of the Philippines Diliman

Capturing Air Quality Dynamics: A Spatio-Temporal Ordinal GAM Framework for AQI Forecasting in the Philippines
by Angeles, Royette N. Rebese, Kristine Joli S. Redondo, Joshua Gabriel D. Romano

Shan Rencis R. Fernandez

University of the Philippines Visayas, Miagao, Iloilo

Modeling Municipal Fisheries Production in the Philippines: A Comparative Time Series Analysis of Traditional, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Approaches
by Shan Rencis R. Fernandez, M.A. Andres, K. Tribiana

Joshua Gabriel D. Romano

University of the Philippines Diliman

The Anatomy of a Filipino Basket: A Pseudo-Panel Machine Learning Approach to Household Consumption Typology and Price-Responsiveness
by Joshua Gabriel D. Romano, Rainier A. Cabantog, Royette N. Rebese, and Kristine Joli S. Redondo

Panel of Judges

Rosalinda P. Bautista

Philippine Statistics Authority

Carmelita N. Ericta

Philippine Social Science Council

Diwa C. Guinigundo

Former Deputy Governor, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

DAY 2: PARALLEL SESSION 1B - Economics and Social Statistics

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 1:00pm-3:00pm | Venue: Auditorium

Session Organizer/Chair

Jade Eric T. Redoblado

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Presenters

Manuel Angelo M. Casalan

Philippine Statistics Authority

Nowcasting Gross Domestic Product of The Philippines Using Nonfarm Payroll and Monthly Indicators Through Mixed Data Sampling
by Manuel Angelo M. Casalan

Neriza C. Chow

De La Salle University

Monthly Deflator-Based Inflation Measures Complement CPI-Based Inflation
by Neriza C. Chow and Andrew Adrain Y. Pua

DAY 2: PARALLEL SESSION 1C - Data Science and AI

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 1:00pm-3:00pm | Venue: Lecture Hall 2

Session Organizer/Chair

Ferdinand S. Co

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Presenters

Lizelle Ann V. Cruz

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Between Crisis and Recovery: Economic Narratives and Systemic Risk in the Philippines
by Lizelle Ann V. Cruz

Jorjin F. Godoy

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Structural Cracks and Cyclical Tremors: A Large Language Model Analysis of Financial Stability Reports in Asia-Pacific
by Veronica B. Bayangos, Liselle Ann V. Cruz, Jorjin F. Godoy and Christofer A. Martin

Gabriel A. Masangkay

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Beyond Sentiment: Measuring Intensity in Business Expectations Survey Responses
by Gabriel A. Masangkay

DAY 2: PARALLEL SESSION 2A - Innovation and Digital Transformation

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 3:30pm-5:00pm | Venue: Lecture Hall 1

Session Organizer/Chair

Francisco De Los Reyes

UP School of Statistics

Presenters

Jorjin F. Godoy

Bangko Sentral ng Pilpinas

Network-Based Measures of Credit Stress Contagion in ASEAN Banking
by Jorjin F. Godoy

Jessa Mae D. Andal

University of Santo Tomas

Digital Media and Consumer Behavior in ASEAN-6 Through Akerlof’s Theory of Information Asymmetry
by Ederliza V. Magpantay, Jessa Mae D. Andal and Pam Ashley C. Fale

Pam Ashley C. Fale

University of Santo Tomas

DAY 2: PARALLEL SESSION 2B - Sustainable Development

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 3:30pm-5:00pm | Venue: Auditorium

Session Organizer/Chair

Michael Daniel C. Lucagbo

UP School of Statistics

Presenters

Nikkin L. Beronilla

Philippine Statistics Authority

Impact of K-12 Reform on Functional Literacy
by Nikkin L. Beronilla, Jocelyn F. Abrenica, Adrian A. Cerezo, Dennis S. Mapa

Kianna Mae C. Tuazon

Philippine Statistics Authority

Is Intimate Partner Violence Associated with Having More Children Than Desired?Evidence from the 2025 Philippine National Demographic and Health Survey
by Kianna Mae C. Tuazon, Nikkin L. Beronilla, Teodoro M. Orteza, John Paul L. Gito

Jamie T. Castro

Nueva Ecija University of Science and Technology

Understanding Adolescent Awareness of Ecological Footprint and Associated Eco-Psychological Consequence
by Jamie T. Castro

DAY 2: PARALLEL SESSION 2C - Statistical Methodologies

20 October 2026, Tuesday | 3:30pm-5:00pm | Venue: Lecture Hall 2

Session Organizer/Chair

Jade Eric T. Redoblado

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Presenters

Kent Emmanuel C. Soria

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Visualizing Reorganization in Financial Market Momentum through Phase-Space Reconstruction
by Kent Emmanuel C. Soria and and Yra B. Turingan

John Rayven DC. Surio

Philippine Statistics Authority

Small Area Estimation: Model Selection and Methodological Approaches
by John Rayven DC. Surio

Melecio A. Sy, Jr.

University of Mindanao

Framework Development and Validation of Logistics Perfect Order Fulfullment in the Retail Industry
by Melecio A. Sy, Jr.

Day 3 — 21 October 2026, Wednesday

DAY 3: PARALLEL SESSION 3A - Evidence-based Policy Making Governance

21 October 2026, Wednesday | 8:30am-10:00am | Venue: Lecture Hall 1

Session Organizer/Chair

Michael Daniel C. Lucagbo

UP School of Statistics

Presenters

Jorjin F. Godoy

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Banking System Resilience in ASEAN: Evidence from Normalized SRISK Measures and Stress Scenarios
by Jorjin F. Godoy

Danzel A. Ocenar

Mindanao State University

Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling with Change-Point Analysis of Crimes in SOCCSKSARGEN
by Danzel A. Ocenar

Franco G. Jubilo

Commission on Population and Development Region 1

Breaking the Mold: Understanding the Innovation Resistance Behind Low PRIME-HRM Adoption in High-Performing Local Governments
by Franco G. Jubilo

DAY 3: PARALLEL SESSION 3B - Economics and Social Statistics

21 October 2026, Wednesday | 8:30am-10:00am | Venue: Auditorium

Session Organizer/Chair

Shirlee R. Ocampo

De La Salle University

Presenters

Arnie Joy C. Vallejo

Commission on Population and Development (CPD) Region VI

Experiencing Mental Distress: Youth Mental Well-Being in Western Visayas
by Arnie Joy C. Vallejo, Harold Alfred P. Marshall, Roilo Vincent G. Laguna, and Cristabel Rose F. Parcon

Francis Yestin Javiero

University of the Philippines Visayas

Trends of Suicidal Ideation Among Filipino Adolescents: Evidence from Five National GSHS Surveys, 2003–2019
by Glenn Ivan D. Macitas, Jhoanne Marsh C. Gatpatan, Francis Yestin V. Javier, Jace Grant D. Cayot, Franque A. Gilo & Lawton L. Cornelio

Daryl A. Azura

Philippine Statistics Authority

The Cost of Decent Life: Exploring Approaches to Living Wage Estimation in the Philippines
by Daryl A. Azura and Nikkin L. Beronilla

DAY 3: PARALLEL SESSION 3C - Official Statistics

21 October 2026, Wednesday | 8:30am-10:00am | Venue: Lecture Hall 2

Session Organizer/Chair

Romeo S. Recide

Philippine Statistical Association, Inc.

Presenters

Loreto B. Soriano

Migration And Development Policy Center

Beyond Remittances: Measuring the Development Contribution of Returning and Returned Overseas Filipino Workers Through the National Inventory of Returning And Returned OFWs of the Philippines (NIROP)
by Loreto B. Soriano

Alexander A. Makinano

Commission On Population and Development

Strategic Policy and Resource Targeting for Climate-Resilient and People-Centered Local Governance in the Philippines: A Multidimensional Subnational Typology Based on Official Statistics, Administrative Data, and Published Evidence
by Alexander A. Makinano

Dionito F. Mangao, Jr.

Division of Cavite Province, Alternative Learning System, Department of Education

Understanding Out-Of-School Learners Mindsets: Sentiment Analysis on Political Polarization and Disinformation among ALS Learners
by Dionito F. Mangao, Jr.

PLENARY TALK - Breaking the Mold: Tao ang Puso ng Pag-unlad

21 October 2026, Wednesday | 10:30am-12:00nn | Venue: Auditorium

Speaker

Romeo S. Recide

Moderator

Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales, PhD

PSAI President
Chair of the 2026 Annual Conference
Executive Director, Commission on Population and Development